Meanwhile in Europe: June 12th – Mideast Shifts, Migration Hurdles, and Domestic Disunity
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Welcome to "Meanwhile in Europe" on June 12th where we unpack the continent's dynamic political landscape.Middle East Tensions & European Shifts: Europe is adopting a more severe approach to Israel, with Sweden's Foreign Minister advocating for tougher action on human rights abuses, driven by frustration over regional suffering. Meanwhile, US officials were informed of Israel's readiness to launch an operation into Iran, prompting US warnings for Americans to leave Iraq. French-Palestinian MEP Rima Hassan was released after her Gaza-bound yacht was boarded by the Israeli navy.Zelenskyy, Trump, & War's End: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy believes Donald Trump has the power to end the war with Russia, stating "Putin understands nothing but strength, and America has that strength". He appeals to Trump's ego, highlighting a legacy-building opportunity, and asserts "Russia is simply lying to Trump". Zelenskyy also praised Germany's contributions, urging Friedrich Merz to "ultimately give us the Taurus" missiles.NATO's New Defense Targets & Spending Debates: NATO leaders are set to agree on a new 5% GDP target for defense and security investments. Italy claims to have hit the old 2% target, but its high public debt means Rome is pushing for more time to meet the new goal, even proposing the Messina bridge count towards defense spending. This comes as Germany's SPD faces internal conflict over a peace manifesto rejecting planned NATO targets and advocating for disarmament, despite Lars Klingbeil's rejection of its core content.EU's Human Rights & Migration Hurdles: The EU's decades-long process of formally joining the ECHR faces growing opposition from states eager to restrict migration. Denmark, Italy, and others voiced concerns about ECHR handling of migration cases, while Italy, backed by France, Greece, and Malta, proposed discussions on migratory flows from Libya. Franco-German lawmakers are also collaborating on tougher border checks."Trump World" Global Impacts: European governments, including Italy and Romania, are scrambling over the prospect of the Trump administration deporting undocumented migrants to Guantanamo. The US is also reviewing its AUKUS pact, raising concerns for UK defense firms. The G7 is not expected to reach a consensus on a joint communiqué next week, partly due to differences on Ukraine and climate.UK's Economic Strain & French Political Rifts: Chancellor Rachel Reeves' spending review faces economist predictions of further tax hikes due to limited fiscal maneuverability. UK GDP also fell by 0.3% in April. In France, President Emmanuel Macron is "irritated" by Gabriel Attal's Dreyfus bill, viewing it as an encroachment on his constitutional prerogative. "Turbulent weeks" are also ahead for France's pension funding debate.Tune in to stay in the know about Europe politically.